Asymmetric Inflation Hedge of Housing Return: A Non-linear Vector Error Correction Approach

Authors: Kuan-Min, Wang, Yuan-Ming, Lee and T.T.Binh, Nguyen

Start Page: 65
End Page: 82
Volume: 11
Issue Number: 1
Year: 2008
Publication: International Real Estate Review

Abstract:

Conclusions of past works on the inflation hedging ability of real estate investment are not consistent. The reason for this perplexity might be the neglect of separation between high and low state of inflation, which has a great influence on empirical results. In order to examine the inflation hedging effectiveness of real estate with Taiwanese monthly housing returns and inflation, this paper uses the inflation as the threshold variable to create the nonlinear vector correction model that divides the inflation rates into high and low regime. We find robust evidence that when inflation rates are higher than 0.83% threshold value, housing returns are able to hedge against inflation, and, otherwise, they are unable. Using new methodology to discover new implications is main contribution of this study.
 

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